Animal Ownership and Touching Enrich the Context of Social Contacts Relevant to the Spread of Human Infectious Diseases.
Identifieur interne : 000032 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000031; suivant : 000033Animal Ownership and Touching Enrich the Context of Social Contacts Relevant to the Spread of Human Infectious Diseases.
Auteurs : Yimer Wasihun Kifle [Belgique] ; Nele Goeyvaerts [Belgique] ; Kim Van Kerckhove [Belgique] ; Lander Willem [Belgique] ; Adam Kucharski [Royaume-Uni] ; Christel Faes [Belgique] ; Herwig Leirs [Belgique] ; Niel Hens [Belgique] ; Philippe Beutels [Australie]Source :
- PloS one [ 1932-6203 ] ; 2015.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- Adolescent, Adulte, Adulte d'âge moyen, Animaux, Animaux de compagnie, Attribution aléatoire, Belgique (épidémiologie), Bétail, Comportement social, Enfant, Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Femelle, Humains, Jeune adulte, Maladies transmissibles (transmission), Maladies transmissibles (épidémiologie), Modèles logistiques, Mâle, Nourrisson, Nouveau-né, Propriété (), Sujet âgé, Surveillance de la population (), Volaille, Zoonoses (transmission), Zoonoses (épidémiologie).
- MESH :
- épidémiologie : Belgique, Maladies transmissibles, Zoonoses.
- Adolescent, Adulte, Adulte d'âge moyen, Animaux, Animaux de compagnie, Attribution aléatoire, Bétail, Comportement social, Enfant, Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Femelle, Humains, Jeune adulte, Modèles logistiques, Mâle, Nourrisson, Nouveau-né, Propriété, Sujet âgé, Surveillance de la population, Volaille.
- Wicri :
- geographic : Belgique.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Animals, Belgium (epidemiology), Child, Child, Preschool, Communicable Diseases (epidemiology), Communicable Diseases (transmission), Female, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Livestock, Logistic Models, Male, Middle Aged, Ownership (statistics & numerical data), Pets, Population Surveillance (methods), Poultry, Random Allocation, Social Behavior, Young Adult, Zoonoses (epidemiology), Zoonoses (transmission).
- MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : Belgium.
- epidemiology : Communicable Diseases, Zoonoses.
- methods : Population Surveillance.
- statistics & numerical data : Ownership.
- transmission : Communicable Diseases, Zoonoses.
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Animals, Child, Child, Preschool, Female, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Livestock, Logistic Models, Male, Middle Aged, Pets, Poultry, Random Allocation, Social Behavior, Young Adult.
Abstract
Many human infectious diseases originate from animals or are transmitted through animal vectors. We aimed to identify factors that are predictive of ownership and touching of animals, assess whether animal ownership influences social contact behavior, and estimate the probability of a major zoonotic outbreak should a transmissible influenza-like pathogen be present in animals, all in the setting of a densely populated European country. A diary-based social contact survey (n = 1768) was conducted in Flanders, Belgium, from September 2010 until February 2011. Many participants touched pets (46%), poultry (2%) or livestock (2%) on a randomly assigned day, and a large proportion of participants owned such animals (51%, 15% and 5%, respectively). Logistic regression models indicated that larger households are more likely to own an animal and, unsurprisingly, that animal owners are more likely to touch animals. We observed a significant effect of age on animal ownership and touching. The total number of social contacts during a randomly assigned day was modeled using weighted-negative binomial regression. Apart from age, household size and day type (weekend versus weekday and regular versus holiday period), animal ownership was positively associated with the total number of social contacts during the weekend. Assuming that animal ownership and/or touching are at-risk events, we demonstrate a method to estimate the outbreak potential of zoonoses. We show that in Belgium animal-human interactions involving young children (0-9 years) and adults (25-54 years) have the highest potential to cause a major zoonotic outbreak.
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0133461
PubMed: 26193480
Affiliations:
- Australie, Belgique, Royaume-Uni
- Angleterre, Grand Londres, Nouvelle-Galles du Sud, Province d'Anvers, Région flamande
- Anvers, Londres, Sydney
- Université d'Anvers
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Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Belgique</country><wicri:regionArea>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université d'Anvers</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Anvers</settlement><region>Région flamande</region><region type="district" nuts="2">Province d'Anvers</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Van Kerckhove, Kim" sort="Van Kerckhove, Kim" uniqKey="Van Kerckhove K" first="Kim" last="Van Kerckhove">Kim Van Kerckhove</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Belgique</country><wicri:regionArea>Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Diepenbeek</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Willem, Lander" sort="Willem, Lander" uniqKey="Willem L" first="Lander" last="Willem">Lander Willem</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium; Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Belgique</country><wicri:regionArea>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium; Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Antwerp, Antwerp</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université d'Anvers</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Anvers</settlement><region>Région flamande</region><region type="district" nuts="2">Province d'Anvers</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kucharski, Adam" sort="Kucharski, Adam" uniqKey="Kucharski A" first="Adam" last="Kucharski">Adam Kucharski</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Londres</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Faes, Christel" sort="Faes, Christel" uniqKey="Faes C" first="Christel" last="Faes">Christel Faes</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Belgique</country><wicri:regionArea>Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Diepenbeek</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Leirs, Herwig" sort="Leirs, Herwig" uniqKey="Leirs H" first="Herwig" last="Leirs">Herwig Leirs</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Evolutionary Ecology Group, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Belgique</country><wicri:regionArea>Evolutionary Ecology Group, University of Antwerp, Antwerp</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université d'Anvers</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Anvers</settlement><region>Région flamande</region><region type="district" nuts="2">Province d'Anvers</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hens, Niel" sort="Hens, Niel" uniqKey="Hens N" first="Niel" last="Hens">Niel Hens</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Belgique</country><wicri:regionArea>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université d'Anvers</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Anvers</settlement><region>Région flamande</region><region type="district" nuts="2">Province d'Anvers</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Beutels, Philippe" sort="Beutels, Philippe" uniqKey="Beutels P" first="Philippe" last="Beutels">Philippe Beutels</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; School of Public Health and Community Medicine, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; School of Public Health and Community Medicine, The University of New South Wales, Sydney</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Sydney</settlement><region type="état">Nouvelle-Galles du Sud</region></placeName><orgName type="university">Université d'Anvers</orgName></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><date when="2015">2015</date><idno type="RBID">pubmed:26193480</idno><idno type="pmid">26193480</idno><idno type="doi">10.1371/journal.pone.0133461</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Corpus">000028</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Main" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">000028</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Curation">000028</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Main" wicri:step="Curation">000028</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Exploration">000028</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">Animal Ownership and Touching Enrich the Context of Social Contacts Relevant to the Spread of Human Infectious Diseases.</title><author><name sortKey="Kifle, Yimer Wasihun" sort="Kifle, Yimer Wasihun" uniqKey="Kifle Y" first="Yimer Wasihun" last="Kifle">Yimer Wasihun Kifle</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Belgique</country><wicri:regionArea>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université d'Anvers</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Anvers</settlement><region>Région flamande</region><region type="district" nuts="2">Province d'Anvers</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Goeyvaerts, Nele" sort="Goeyvaerts, Nele" uniqKey="Goeyvaerts N" first="Nele" last="Goeyvaerts">Nele Goeyvaerts</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Belgique</country><wicri:regionArea>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université d'Anvers</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Anvers</settlement><region>Région flamande</region><region type="district" nuts="2">Province d'Anvers</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Van Kerckhove, Kim" sort="Van Kerckhove, Kim" uniqKey="Van Kerckhove K" first="Kim" last="Van Kerckhove">Kim Van Kerckhove</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Belgique</country><wicri:regionArea>Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Diepenbeek</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Willem, Lander" sort="Willem, Lander" uniqKey="Willem L" first="Lander" last="Willem">Lander Willem</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium; Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Belgique</country><wicri:regionArea>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium; Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Antwerp, Antwerp</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université d'Anvers</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Anvers</settlement><region>Région flamande</region><region type="district" nuts="2">Province d'Anvers</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kucharski, Adam" sort="Kucharski, Adam" uniqKey="Kucharski A" first="Adam" last="Kucharski">Adam Kucharski</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Londres</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Faes, Christel" sort="Faes, Christel" uniqKey="Faes C" first="Christel" last="Faes">Christel Faes</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Belgique</country><wicri:regionArea>Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Diepenbeek</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Leirs, Herwig" sort="Leirs, Herwig" uniqKey="Leirs H" first="Herwig" last="Leirs">Herwig Leirs</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Evolutionary Ecology Group, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Belgique</country><wicri:regionArea>Evolutionary Ecology Group, University of Antwerp, Antwerp</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université d'Anvers</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Anvers</settlement><region>Région flamande</region><region type="district" nuts="2">Province d'Anvers</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hens, Niel" sort="Hens, Niel" uniqKey="Hens N" first="Niel" last="Hens">Niel Hens</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Belgique</country><wicri:regionArea>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université d'Anvers</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Anvers</settlement><region>Région flamande</region><region type="district" nuts="2">Province d'Anvers</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Beutels, Philippe" sort="Beutels, Philippe" uniqKey="Beutels P" first="Philippe" last="Beutels">Philippe Beutels</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; School of Public Health and Community Medicine, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; School of Public Health and Community Medicine, The University of New South Wales, Sydney</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Sydney</settlement><region type="état">Nouvelle-Galles du Sud</region></placeName><orgName type="university">Université d'Anvers</orgName></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">PloS one</title><idno type="eISSN">1932-6203</idno><imprint><date when="2015" type="published">2015</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adult</term><term>Aged</term><term>Animals</term><term>Belgium (epidemiology)</term><term>Child</term><term>Child, Preschool</term><term>Communicable Diseases (epidemiology)</term><term>Communicable Diseases (transmission)</term><term>Female</term><term>Humans</term><term>Infant</term><term>Infant, Newborn</term><term>Livestock</term><term>Logistic Models</term><term>Male</term><term>Middle Aged</term><term>Ownership (statistics & numerical data)</term><term>Pets</term><term>Population Surveillance (methods)</term><term>Poultry</term><term>Random Allocation</term><term>Social Behavior</term><term>Young Adult</term><term>Zoonoses (epidemiology)</term><term>Zoonoses (transmission)</term></keywords><keywords scheme="KwdFr" xml:lang="fr"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adulte</term><term>Adulte d'âge moyen</term><term>Animaux</term><term>Animaux de compagnie</term><term>Attribution aléatoire</term><term>Belgique (épidémiologie)</term><term>Bétail</term><term>Comportement social</term><term>Enfant</term><term>Enfant d'âge préscolaire</term><term>Femelle</term><term>Humains</term><term>Jeune adulte</term><term>Maladies transmissibles (transmission)</term><term>Maladies transmissibles (épidémiologie)</term><term>Modèles logistiques</term><term>Mâle</term><term>Nourrisson</term><term>Nouveau-né</term><term>Propriété ()</term><term>Sujet âgé</term><term>Surveillance de la population ()</term><term>Volaille</term><term>Zoonoses (transmission)</term><term>Zoonoses (épidémiologie)</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" type="geographic" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Belgium</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Communicable Diseases</term><term>Zoonoses</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="methods" xml:lang="en"><term>Population Surveillance</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="statistics & numerical data" xml:lang="en"><term>Ownership</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="transmission" xml:lang="en"><term>Communicable Diseases</term><term>Zoonoses</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="épidémiologie" xml:lang="fr"><term>Belgique</term><term>Maladies transmissibles</term><term>Zoonoses</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adult</term><term>Aged</term><term>Animals</term><term>Child</term><term>Child, Preschool</term><term>Female</term><term>Humans</term><term>Infant</term><term>Infant, Newborn</term><term>Livestock</term><term>Logistic Models</term><term>Male</term><term>Middle Aged</term><term>Pets</term><term>Poultry</term><term>Random Allocation</term><term>Social Behavior</term><term>Young Adult</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adulte</term><term>Adulte d'âge moyen</term><term>Animaux</term><term>Animaux de compagnie</term><term>Attribution aléatoire</term><term>Bétail</term><term>Comportement social</term><term>Enfant</term><term>Enfant d'âge préscolaire</term><term>Femelle</term><term>Humains</term><term>Jeune adulte</term><term>Modèles logistiques</term><term>Mâle</term><term>Nourrisson</term><term>Nouveau-né</term><term>Propriété</term><term>Sujet âgé</term><term>Surveillance de la population</term><term>Volaille</term></keywords><keywords scheme="Wicri" type="geographic" xml:lang="fr"><term>Belgique</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Many human infectious diseases originate from animals or are transmitted through animal vectors. We aimed to identify factors that are predictive of ownership and touching of animals, assess whether animal ownership influences social contact behavior, and estimate the probability of a major zoonotic outbreak should a transmissible influenza-like pathogen be present in animals, all in the setting of a densely populated European country. A diary-based social contact survey (n = 1768) was conducted in Flanders, Belgium, from September 2010 until February 2011. Many participants touched pets (46%), poultry (2%) or livestock (2%) on a randomly assigned day, and a large proportion of participants owned such animals (51%, 15% and 5%, respectively). Logistic regression models indicated that larger households are more likely to own an animal and, unsurprisingly, that animal owners are more likely to touch animals. We observed a significant effect of age on animal ownership and touching. The total number of social contacts during a randomly assigned day was modeled using weighted-negative binomial regression. Apart from age, household size and day type (weekend versus weekday and regular versus holiday period), animal ownership was positively associated with the total number of social contacts during the weekend. Assuming that animal ownership and/or touching are at-risk events, we demonstrate a method to estimate the outbreak potential of zoonoses. We show that in Belgium animal-human interactions involving young children (0-9 years) and adults (25-54 years) have the highest potential to cause a major zoonotic outbreak. </div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">26193480</PMID><DateCompleted><Year>2016</Year><Month>04</Month><Day>25</Day></DateCompleted><DateRevised><Year>2020</Year><Month>03</Month><Day>06</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Electronic-eCollection"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1932-6203</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><Volume>10</Volume><Issue>7</Issue><PubDate><Year>2015</Year></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>PloS one</Title><ISOAbbreviation>PLoS ONE</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>Animal Ownership and Touching Enrich the Context of Social Contacts Relevant to the Spread of Human Infectious Diseases.</ArticleTitle><Pagination><MedlinePgn>e0133461</MedlinePgn></Pagination><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1371/journal.pone.0133461</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText>Many human infectious diseases originate from animals or are transmitted through animal vectors. We aimed to identify factors that are predictive of ownership and touching of animals, assess whether animal ownership influences social contact behavior, and estimate the probability of a major zoonotic outbreak should a transmissible influenza-like pathogen be present in animals, all in the setting of a densely populated European country. A diary-based social contact survey (n = 1768) was conducted in Flanders, Belgium, from September 2010 until February 2011. Many participants touched pets (46%), poultry (2%) or livestock (2%) on a randomly assigned day, and a large proportion of participants owned such animals (51%, 15% and 5%, respectively). Logistic regression models indicated that larger households are more likely to own an animal and, unsurprisingly, that animal owners are more likely to touch animals. We observed a significant effect of age on animal ownership and touching. The total number of social contacts during a randomly assigned day was modeled using weighted-negative binomial regression. Apart from age, household size and day type (weekend versus weekday and regular versus holiday period), animal ownership was positively associated with the total number of social contacts during the weekend. Assuming that animal ownership and/or touching are at-risk events, we demonstrate a method to estimate the outbreak potential of zoonoses. We show that in Belgium animal-human interactions involving young children (0-9 years) and adults (25-54 years) have the highest potential to cause a major zoonotic outbreak. </AbstractText></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Kifle</LastName><ForeName>Yimer Wasihun</ForeName><Initials>YW</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Goeyvaerts</LastName><ForeName>Nele</ForeName><Initials>N</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Van Kerckhove</LastName><ForeName>Kim</ForeName><Initials>K</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Willem</LastName><ForeName>Lander</ForeName><Initials>L</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium; Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Kucharski</LastName><ForeName>Adam</ForeName><Initials>A</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Faes</LastName><ForeName>Christel</ForeName><Initials>C</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Leirs</LastName><ForeName>Herwig</ForeName><Initials>H</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Evolutionary Ecology Group, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Hens</LastName><ForeName>Niel</ForeName><Initials>N</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Beutels</LastName><ForeName>Philippe</ForeName><Initials>P</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Center for Health Economics Research & Modeling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium; School of Public Health and Community Medicine, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType><PublicationType UI="D013485">Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't</PublicationType></PublicationTypeList><ArticleDate DateType="Electronic"><Year>2015</Year><Month>07</Month><Day>20</Day></ArticleDate></Article><MedlineJournalInfo><Country>United States</Country><MedlineTA>PLoS One</MedlineTA><NlmUniqueID>101285081</NlmUniqueID><ISSNLinking>1932-6203</ISSNLinking></MedlineJournalInfo><CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset><CommentsCorrectionsList><CommentsCorrections RefType="ErratumIn"><RefSource>PLoS One. 2016;11(2):e0148718</RefSource><PMID Version="1">26840638</PMID><Note>Kucharski, Adam [added]</Note></CommentsCorrections></CommentsCorrectionsList><MeshHeadingList><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D000293" MajorTopicYN="N">Adolescent</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D000328" MajorTopicYN="N">Adult</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D000368" MajorTopicYN="N">Aged</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D000818" MajorTopicYN="N">Animals</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D001530" MajorTopicYN="N" Type="Geographic">Belgium</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="N">epidemiology</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D002648" MajorTopicYN="N">Child</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D002675" MajorTopicYN="N">Child, Preschool</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D003141" MajorTopicYN="N">Communicable Diseases</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="N">epidemiology</QualifierName><QualifierName UI="Q000635" MajorTopicYN="Y">transmission</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D005260" MajorTopicYN="N">Female</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D006801" MajorTopicYN="N">Humans</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D007223" MajorTopicYN="N">Infant</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D007231" MajorTopicYN="N">Infant, Newborn</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D058751" MajorTopicYN="N">Livestock</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D016015" MajorTopicYN="N">Logistic Models</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D008297" MajorTopicYN="N">Male</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D008875" MajorTopicYN="N">Middle Aged</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D010067" MajorTopicYN="N">Ownership</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000706" MajorTopicYN="Y">statistics & numerical data</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D057805" MajorTopicYN="Y">Pets</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D011159" MajorTopicYN="N">Population Surveillance</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000379" MajorTopicYN="N">methods</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D011200" MajorTopicYN="N">Poultry</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D011897" MajorTopicYN="N">Random Allocation</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D012919" MajorTopicYN="Y">Social Behavior</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D055815" MajorTopicYN="N">Young Adult</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D015047" MajorTopicYN="N">Zoonoses</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="N">epidemiology</QualifierName><QualifierName UI="Q000635" MajorTopicYN="Y">transmission</QualifierName></MeshHeading></MeshHeadingList></MedlineCitation><PubmedData><History><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="received"><Year>2015</Year><Month>03</Month><Day>26</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="accepted"><Year>2015</Year><Month>06</Month><Day>29</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="entrez"><Year>2015</Year><Month>7</Month><Day>21</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="pubmed"><Year>2015</Year><Month>7</Month><Day>21</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="medline"><Year>2016</Year><Month>4</Month><Day>26</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate></History><PublicationStatus>epublish</PublicationStatus><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">26193480</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="doi">10.1371/journal.pone.0133461</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="pii">PONE-D-15-11519</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="pmc">PMC4508096</ArticleId></ArticleIdList><ReferenceList><Reference><Citation>BMJ. 2005 Nov 26;331(7527):1252-4</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">16308387</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2001 Jul 29;356(1411):991-9</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId 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flamande</li></region><settlement><li>Anvers</li><li>Londres</li><li>Sydney</li></settlement><orgName><li>Université d'Anvers</li></orgName></list><tree><country name="Belgique"><region name="Région flamande"><name sortKey="Kifle, Yimer Wasihun" sort="Kifle, Yimer Wasihun" uniqKey="Kifle Y" first="Yimer Wasihun" last="Kifle">Yimer Wasihun Kifle</name></region><name sortKey="Faes, Christel" sort="Faes, Christel" uniqKey="Faes C" first="Christel" last="Faes">Christel Faes</name><name sortKey="Goeyvaerts, Nele" sort="Goeyvaerts, Nele" uniqKey="Goeyvaerts N" first="Nele" last="Goeyvaerts">Nele Goeyvaerts</name><name sortKey="Hens, Niel" sort="Hens, Niel" uniqKey="Hens N" first="Niel" last="Hens">Niel Hens</name><name sortKey="Leirs, Herwig" sort="Leirs, Herwig" uniqKey="Leirs H" first="Herwig" last="Leirs">Herwig Leirs</name><name sortKey="Van Kerckhove, Kim" sort="Van Kerckhove, Kim" uniqKey="Van Kerckhove K" first="Kim" last="Van Kerckhove">Kim Van Kerckhove</name><name sortKey="Willem, Lander" sort="Willem, Lander" uniqKey="Willem L" first="Lander" last="Willem">Lander Willem</name></country><country name="Royaume-Uni"><region name="Angleterre"><name sortKey="Kucharski, Adam" sort="Kucharski, Adam" uniqKey="Kucharski A" first="Adam" last="Kucharski">Adam Kucharski</name></region></country><country name="Australie"><region name="Nouvelle-Galles du Sud"><name sortKey="Beutels, Philippe" sort="Beutels, Philippe" uniqKey="Beutels P" first="Philippe" last="Beutels">Philippe Beutels</name></region></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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